Polymarket, the world's largest prediction market platform, and Stocktwits, the largest social platform for investors and traders, announced a strategic partnership to integrate real-time probabilities on market-moving events directly into the Stocktwits experience. The collaboration begins with earnings markets for widely followed companies, marking Polymarket's largest-ever strategic partnership as it becomes the Official Prediction Markets partner for Stocktwits.
The integration brings together two dynamic platforms in trading and investing to deliver transparent, continuously priced expectations around events that move markets. Stocktwits' community of 10 million users will now see Polymarket's real-time, crowd-priced probabilities alongside their conversations about earnings, sentiment, and market movements. This provides investors with a streamlined path to act on these views through Polymarket's prediction markets.
Matthew Modabber, Chief Marketing Officer at Polymarket, stated that prediction markets transform uncertainty into clarity by turning complex questions like earnings into simple, tradable outcomes with transparent pricing. The partnership places this capability directly into the hands of millions of investors where they already engage, potentially reshaping how markets process information.
Earnings season represents one of the most consequential and volatile periods for investors. The integration surfaces probabilities that update second by second, providing investors with a clean, continuously calibrated signal on expectations that helps sharpen conviction with clarity. The partnership will debut with embedded earnings outcome markets on Stocktwits ticker pages and streams, covering select companies during earnings season.
Additional features include "mention markets" tracking whether specific terms appear on earnings calls, along with discovery features such as curated collections and watchlists highlighting upcoming earnings with live probabilities. Probabilities will display directly in Stocktwits discussions, with tap-through access to Polymarket for deeper details, order books, and settlement rules. Markets resolve based on official company reports and call transcripts according to clearly published rules on each Polymarket page.
Howard Lindzon, Founder and CEO of Stocktwits, emphasized that in a post real-time world, trust, community, and quality signals matter more than speed. The combination of Polymarket's innovative approach to understanding news and expectations with Stocktwits' existing investor community aims to help investors cut through noise and focus on the probabilities that matter most.
The rollout begins in September 2025 for select U.S. users, with broader availability throughout the earnings season. Polymarket has recently expanded rapidly, setting records for new market creation and securing key partnerships and investments, indicating growing mainstream interest in prediction market technology.
